A majority of Americans — 59 percent — approve of President Biden‘s handling of his job as he approaches 100 days in office, according to a Pew Research Center poll released Friday. One big problem. Of the 5,109 polled, 1,706 were GOP leaning and 3,253 were Dem leaning. That Factoid was missing from The Hill post. Let’s follow the script.
The poll found Biden’s job approval is up 5 percentage points from 54 percent in March, while 39 percent of those surveyed said they disapprove of his work thus far.
Biden’s 59 percent approval rating is 20 percentage points higher than that of former President Trump‘s in a Pew poll from April 2017 and is similar to the approval ratings of former Presidents Obama and George W. Bush in April of their first terms.
Biden has been buoyed by support for his tone and rhetoric, as well as his handling of the coronavirus pandemic.
The Pew poll found 72 percent of Americans believe the Biden administration has done an excellent or good job managing vaccine production and distribution
Forty-six percent said they like how Biden conducts himself in the job, compared to 27 percent who don’t, and 44 percent of respondents said they believe Biden has changed the tone of political debate for the better, compared to 29 percent who said he’s made it worse.
So let’s take a look at who was polled!
The Pew poll surveyed 5,109 adults from April 5 to 11, which was days before the Biden administration recommended pausing the use of the Johnson & Johnson vaccine. The poll has a margin of error of 2.1 percentage points.
If you dig really deep and review the poll, on page 7 you will find this little surprise. It took me 30 minutes to find it even though I know it was suppose to be there so I doubt too many followed the bread crumbs. Pages of mumbo jumbo on the so called “Methodology.” Here is the bottom line:
The American Trends Panel (ATP), created by Pew Research Center, is a nationally representative panel of randomly selected U.S. adults. Panelists participate via self-administered web surveys. Panelists who do not have internet access at home are provided with a tablet and wireless internet connection. Interviews are conducted in both English and Spanish. The panel is being managed by Ipsos.
This brought back memories of the Gallup polling company. According to Rasmussen:
Now that Gallup has quit the field, Rasmussen Reports is the only nationally recognized public opinion firm that still tracks President Biden’s job approval ratings on a daily basis.
I was happily moving along last night, getting my post ready with the good news polls that reflected that things were moving our way, when out of nowhere I hear O’Reilly on the tube. Puffed up and preening how the Gallup poll out today demonstrates his acumen that the Right Wingers were crashing the GOP and he of course had foretold all of this.
Wait, wait I said. This poll is an outlier from all I have looked at. The wheels started turning. Into my way back machine I rolled. Did Eric Holder’s Jackboots stop by Gallup again? What is the status of the multi-million lawsuit brought against Gallup by the DOJ?
Breitbart: Poll: Democrats Lose Lead in Congressional Generic Ballot
In another edition of the polls the media won’t cover, between September 29 and October 6, Democrats have lost a four point lead in Rasmussen’s generic ballot that asks voters if they would vote for a Democrat or Republican in the upcoming midterm elections. That poll is now tied at 40% – 40%. At the end of last month, Democrats led 42% – 38%.
Now from an earlier post. Keep in mind this was at a time when the Presidential race was in full swing. Obama was behind Romney.
What Axelrod and his co-conspirators are really worried about are Gallup’s jobless numbers.
First, I was surprised to learn that they have a number of polling contracts with the government. How can one remain independent with this nefarious regime? How can they do Presidential political polls and yet retain their “objectivity”. Here we go:
Twice this summer, Gallup has published a report calling into question discrepancies between its unadjusted research and what is being tallied in the adjusted Official statistics. In reporting in its latest jobless numbers — in a commentary titled August Unemployment Not Looking Good — Gallup noted (emphases added):
Regardless, barring heroic adjustments or a sharp change in direction, Gallup data suggest the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate for August will increase — possibly substantially — when announced in early September.
In other words, Gallup said the only way unemployment numbers don’t go up next month is if someone in Obamaland puts a finger on the scale.
Within days of the Gallup Organization issuing, essentially, a veiled warning to the Obama gang about tinkering with unemployment numbers, Obama’s DOJ jumped, jackboots first, into a multi-million dollar legal action against Gallup, in a case initiated by a former Obama operative. (Ed: David Axelrod. Anyone surprised?)
A few days later, Eric Holder dropped the fifty-pound sledgehammer on Gallup, joining in a “whistleblower” action. The original complaint alleges that the Gallup organization inflated the number of hours required to do polling projects for the U.S. Mint, the State Department, and other federal agencies. (Why federal agencies even think they need to do polling is another subject for another time.)
After Gallup declined to change its polling methodology, Obama’s Department of Justice hit it with an unrelated lawsuit that appears damning on its face. …
Gallup has been a thorn in Obama’s re-election efforts since it began to publish polling numbers showing Romney leading the incumbent Democrat. The polling organization has also, according to the American Thinker blog, published employment data which, unlike numbers from Obama’s Bureau of Labor Statistics, does not set aside statistics which are not politically helpful to the president.
Each seven-day rolling average is based on telephone interviews with approximately 3,050 registered voters; Margin of error is ±2 percentage points. Results from April 15 through May 6 are based on five-day rolling averages with approximately 2,200 registered voters each; Margin of error is ±3 percentage points. Editorial note: Due to a technical issue, the May 1-5 data point is not displayed at this time.
Those darn data points.
Speaking of Rasmussen:
Daily Presidential Tracking Poll
Friday, April 16, 2021
The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Friday shows that 49% of Likely U.S. Voters approve of President Biden’s job performance. Forty-nine percent (49%) disapprove.
The latest figures include 31% who Strongly Approve of the job Biden is doing and 41% who Strongly Disapprove. This gives him a Presidential Approval Index rating of -10. (see trends)
Well wouldn’t this be a swell way to defeat Obamacare!!
Even if Coakley wins by just a small margin, a message will be delivered. And the National Republican party? Where are you?? Another NY23?? Lets rock and roll on this one!! We need the Tea Party Express!~ and a super turnout of conservatives– we can do this!!
A new Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of likely voters in the state finds Coakley ahead of Brown 50% to 41%. One percent (1%) prefer some other candidate, and seven percent (7%) are undecided.
The special Senate election will be held on January 19 and special elections typically feature low turnout. That’s one reason the race appears to be a bit closer than might typically be expected for a Senate race in Massachusetts.
However, as is the case nationally, those who feel strongly about the bill are more likely to be opposed. The overall figures include 36% who Strongly Oppose the plan while 27% Strongly Favor it.
Maybe the American people are catching on. Wonder if his media blitz Sunday with Oprah and 60 minutes will give him a lift? Lets hope we have had enough face time with our Marxist.
The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Sunday shows that 23% of the nation’s voters Strongly Approve of the way that Barack Obama is performing his role as President. Forty-two percent (42%) Strongly Disapprove giving Obama a Presidential Approval Index rating of -19.
Today is the second straight day that Obama’s Approval Index rating has fallen to a new low. Prior to the past two days, the Approval Index had never fallen below -15 during Obama’s time in office (see trends).
The 23% who Strongly Approve matches the lowest level of enthusiasm yet recorded. Just 41% of Democrats Strongly Approve while 69% of Republicans Strongly Disapprove. Among voters not affiliated with either major party, 21% Strongly Approve and 49% Strongly Disapprove.
Last night Paul noted the modest impact that President Obama’s televised speech and related efforts to rally support for the Democrats’ health care plan was having, as measured by the Washington Post/ABC News poll. The Rasmussen survey, on the other hand, did measure a relatively significant increase in support for the plan among likely voters. As of a few days ago, support for the plan surpassed 50 percent, 51-46, for the first time in a long while.
Now, though, that bounce has dissipated. In Rasmussen’s most recent polling, out this morning, support has fallen back to pre-speech levels with 45 percent supporting the plan and 52 percent opposing it.
This shouldn’t be too surprising. Health care is a topic that people care deeply about, and a few Presidential speeches ought not have a big impact. (Rasmussen found that increasing support for the plan following the speech came almost exclusively from Democrats.) These data also suggest that the Democrats’ strategy of diverting attention away from the plan itself and trying to make the plans’ opponents–Joe Wilson, for example, and anti-Obama protesters–the issue, has failed. That, too, shouldn’t be surprising.