It’s important that pregnant women are able to drop into enemy territory. Imagine a pregnant woman pilot with air sickness. Imagine a pregnant American woman captured by an enemy.
Imagine Joe Biden is President.
China is on a tear with a massive increase in Navy ship building. First we have Tucker Carlson giving us an update on China. Joe himself comes next with his military strategy and then our intrepid Mustang throws out some thoughts on the China matter for us think about.
China Joe himself with the necessary improvements to our fighting forces that will carry us to victory. Note his ever present minder Harris waiting in the wings prepared to pull the plug should Biden go off script or need direction to get off stage.
The Enemy of My Enemy
An Introduction to Chinese Checkers
Recently, Mr. Schweizer wrote about China’s Dragon Ships — a massive increase in Chinese navy shipbuilding. Despite Wikipedia’s warning about Peter Schweizer — that he’s a contributor to the far right media organization Breitbart News — I enjoy his articles. They are well-researched and convey useful information in a well-organized and highly articulate manner.
Among his pearls are —
- The Chinese Navy has replaced the USN as the world’s largest
- China’s goal, in developing such a large navy is (a) to intimidate and threaten the economic security of Japan, South Korea, Taiwan, Singapore, Thailand, and Indonesia, and (b) lay claim to the entire South China Sea as a Chinese sovereign territory
- China’s push for nuclear powered ships reflects a longer-term goal of challenging the US and other navies around the world
- China’s shipbuilding behavior will only get worse unless the US challenges China through diplomatic and economic penalties.
I think Mr. Schweizer did a good job in his article up until his final point. Economic and diplomatic penalties imposed on China have never worked. This bears repeating. There is nothing more useless than a law that cannot be enforced, or a foreign policy that has no effect.
So if we agree that the imposition of trade restrictions on China — or diplomatic consequences (and I cannot imagine what these might entail) — have no effect, why bother? It makes you wonder, “Well, then, what else could the US do to challenge China?”
Beyond my reading of Chinese history and the product of the so-called China Watchers for a few decades, I am no expert. I can say that Chinese frequently demonstrate their craftiness, and more often than not to the detriment of US foreign and trade policies (which reflects more the ineptness of American diplomats than it does on the cleverness of Chinese thinking). As but one example, America’s involvement in the Vietnam War was entirely the brain-child of Chou En-Lai … whose trap we walked into with both eyes open.
All that aside, what could the Americans do to challenge China?
- We could increase our naval construction program. This is easier said than done, particularly since the US cannot bank on revenues if it intends to keep the American economy in lockdown mode. China could more or less assure our continued lockdown by introducing yet another virus into the United States — which shouldn’t be too hard since every week, 3,881 flights arrive in the US from China. Snap! A robust US naval construction effort would entail more sailors (more financial outlays), but of course we cannot do that and provide unrestrained and un-budgeted-for economic stimulus programs to the American people.
- The balance of power in East Asia may involve more than issues of naval supremacy; Japan, for example, purchases most of its rice from Vietnam. We might encourage our Asian allies to pursue a more robust naval construction program — but that would only work if our Asian allies perceived the Chinese navy as a significant threat to their economic interests. Otherwise, from their perspective, there would be no justification for increasing their spending on naval/military hardware. Note: looking back in time, maybe FDR should have backed Japan against China in the 1930s.
- I suppose the US could simply stop trading with China, although the fact is that if the US did impose an embargo on all Chinese made goods, it would only account for $106-billion (annually)… a drop in the bucket as a percentage of China’s GDP. Plus, should we really send Wal-Mart into bankruptcy?
- There is always the option of not challenging China’s naval activities at all. Should the US really care about this — enough to spend billions we don’t have on naval construction — when China’s strategy may very well be the exact same thing we did to the former-Soviet Union, which was to drive the Soviets into economic oblivion?
- Finally, the US might consider an ambitious campaign to convince Americans that Chinese noodles are deliciously nutritious.
Greg Poling, Director of the Asia Maritime Transparency Initiative at the Center for Strategic and International Studies organization seems to agree with me, recently stating, “The South China Sea isn’t a military problem and has no military (naval) solutions. All the force investments in the world won’t matter if the US fails to impose enough diplomatic and economic costs to alter Chinese behavior.”
Of course, Mr. Poling probably has more confidence in America’s diplomatic corps than I do. I cannot find one single “clever” thing the US State Department has done in the past 120 years that didn’t end up costing the American people needless loss of life or an increase in the loss of disposable income.
The enemy of my enemy is my friend is a concept suggesting that other governments who live in fear of China might become worthwhile American allies. I laugh.
Our “friends” would expect that the USA subsidize their naval construction efforts, while at the same time increasing our trade deficits with them as part of the bargain. It makes me want to question the wisdom of wasting time trying to create any worthwhile anti-Chinese alliances.
By the way, the title expression originated in India in the fourth century before the common era. It may not actually apply to this perceived Chinese threat since the US has no worthwhile friends and all of our former allies should have learned their lessons by now.
Still, I wonder … what do the commenters at Bunkerville think?